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UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET FORECAST 2024-2050

SCOPE OF THE REPORT

United States Blue Ammonia Market by Technology (Steam Methane Reforming, Autothermal Reforming, Gas Partial Oxidation) Market by Application (Agriculture, Maritime Transport, Hydrogen Carrier, Power Generation, Other Applications)


MARKET OVERVIEW

The United States blue ammonia market is valued at $30.07 million in 2024 and is set to garner $16869.56 million by 2050, growing at a CAGR of 51.78% during 2025-2030, 37.85% during 2030-2035, 24.83% during 2035-2040, 16.33% during 2040-2045, and 6.20% during 2045-2050.

The emerging blue ammonia market in the United States holds substantial promise, driven by climate objectives and ammonia’s versatility as both a clean fuel and fertilizer. The growth of this market is being expedited by government initiatives such as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which earmarks $8 billion for clean hydrogen hubs, indirectly supporting blue ammonia production. The Department of Energy (DOE) is further catalyzing progress through programs like the Clean Hydrogen Hubs and Ammonia FIRST Initiative, advancing research, development, and deployment efforts. Investors are enticed by tax incentives such as the production tax credits for low-carbon hydrogen under the Inflation Reduction Act.

United States Blue Ammonia Market

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Additionally, the U.S. Department of the Treasury and Internal Revenue Service (IRS) have issued proposed regulations for the Clean Hydrogen Production Credit established by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This tax credit for hydrogen will play a pivotal role in fostering a clean hydrogen industry, especially significant for mitigating emissions in challenging-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry and transportation.

The United States blue ammonia market segmentation includes technology and application. The application segment includes power generation, hydrogen carrier, agriculture, maritime transport, and other applications.

Blue ammonia, containing essential nitrogen for plant growth, serves as a fertilizer. Currently, ammonia, derived mainly from fossil fuels, is the world’s most widely used nitrogen fertilizer, contributing to greenhouse gas emissions. To diminish the carbon footprint in agriculture, the sector can adopt blue ammonia, known for its lower emissions compared to traditional ammonia. This alternative is suitable for a wide range of crops, including corn, wheat, rice, soybeans, and vegetables, and can be employed in agricultural techniques like nitrification inhibition to reduce soil emissions of nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse gas. Furthermore, blue ammonia contributes to improved soil health and crop quality due to its lower acidity and corrosiveness compared to conventional ammonia.

While the undeniable potential of blue ammonia in agriculture, maritime transport, hydrogen storage, and power generation is acknowledged, its versatility goes beyond these established avenues. Blue ammonia has the capability to generate various chemicals such as fertilizers, plastics, and pharmaceuticals, potentially lowering the carbon footprint of these sectors. Crucial for various chemicals and polymers, ammonia derivatives like methylamines, ethylamines, and cyanuric acid can be produced using blue ammonia with a reduced carbon footprint.

Ammonia-based solvents are widely used in the purification and extraction of active ingredients for various pharmaceuticals. The incorporation of blue ammonia in these solvents contributes to an overall reduction in the carbon footprint of pharmaceutical production. Regardless of its color, ammonia plays a vital role in producing the antibiotic chloramphenicol. The substitution of grey ammonia with blue ammonia renders the entire production process more sustainable.

Some of the key firms in the United States blue ammonia market are CF Industries, ExxonMobil, Ma’aden, etc.

CF Industries, a leading company in the manufacturing of ammonia for fertilizer, clean energy, and other industrial applications, faces a dilemma. While ammonia proves beneficial for higher yields in agriculture, it is accompanied by a significant carbon footprint. In an effort to align with the Paris Agreement, CF Industries is strategically working towards decarbonizing its ammonia production, aiming to generate both blue and green ammonia. Recognizing potential opportunities beyond agriculture, the company envisions low-carbon and green ammonia production in sectors such as marine transportation and power generation. Notably, CF Industries made notable progress towards blue ammonia in 2022.

Further, the company’s ambitious plans include the production of blue ammonia at its Donaldsonville Complex, scheduled to be operational by 2025. An essential step in this direction involves a carbon capture and sequestration agreement with ExxonMobil, targeting the capture of approximately 2 million tons of carbon within the facility. CF Industries is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

REPORT SYNOPSIS

REPORT SCOPEDETAILS
Market Forecast Years2024-2050
Base Year2023
Market Historical Years2020-2022
Forecast UnitsRevenue ($ Million) 
Segments Analyzed
Technology and Application
Countries AnalyzedThe United States
Companies AnalyzedCF Industries, ExxonMobil, Ma’aden, Nutrien Limited, POSCO Holdings Inc, Shell, Yara International

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. RESEARCH SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
    1. STUDY OBJECTIVES
    2. METHODOLOGY
    3. ASSUMPTIONS & LIMITATIONS
  2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
    1. MARKET SIZE & ESTIMATES
    2. COUNTRY SNAPSHOT
    3. SCOPE OF STUDY
    4. CRISIS SCENARIO ANALYSIS
    5. MAJOR MARKET FINDINGS
      1. STEAM METHANE REFORMING (SMR) IS THE DOMINANT INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FOR PRODUCING HYDROGEN
      2. AGRICULTURE SECTOR IS ANTICIPATED TO ENCOMPASS MAJOR BLUE AMMONIA USAGE
  3. MARKET DYNAMICS
    1. KEY DRIVERS
      1. SURGING EFFORTS FOR CARBON EMISSION REDUCTION
      2. INNOVATIVE INFRASTRUCTURE AND SUSTAINABLE SCALING OF BLUE AMMONIA PRODUCTION
      3. ADVANCING THE HYDROGEN ECONOMY FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SOLUTIONS
    2. KEY RESTRAINTS
      1. COST CHALLENGES IN BLUE AMMONIA COMMERCIALIZATION
      2. LIMITED PUBLIC AWARENESS AND PROPRIETARY CONSTRAINTS
      3. CHALLENGES IN AMMONIA CLASSIFICATION AND STANDARD ADOPTION
  4. KEY ANALYTICS
    1. KEY MARKET TRENDS
      1. DECARBONIZING SOLUTIONS ACROSS AGRICULTURE AND OTHER INDUSTRIES
      2. ADVANCEMENTS IN TECHNOLOGY
      3. POLICY AND REGULATORY LANDSCAPE
    2. PESTLE ANALYSIS
      1. POLITICAL
      2. ECONOMICAL
      3. SOCIAL
      4. TECHNOLOGICAL
      5. LEGAL
      6. ENVIRONMENTAL
    3. PORTER’S FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
      1. BUYERS POWER
      2. SUPPLIERS POWER
      3. SUBSTITUTION
      4. NEW ENTRANTS
      5. INDUSTRY RIVALRY
    4. MARKET CONCENTRATION ANALYSIS
    5. VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS
      1. NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION
      2. AMMONIA PRODUCTION
      3. CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE (CCS)
      4. TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE
      5. END-USE
    6. KEY BUYING CRITERIA
      1. COST
      2. CARBON FOOTPRINT
      3. INFRASTRUCTURE
      4. REGULATION
      5. SUPPLY CHAIN
  5. MARKET BY TECHNOLOGY
    1. STEAM METHANE REFORMING (SMR)
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
    2. AUTOTHERMAL REFORMING (ATR)
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
    3. GAS PARTIAL OXIDATION
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
  6. MARKET BY APPLICATION
    1. AGRICULTURE
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
    2. MARITIME TRANSPORT
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
    3. HYDROGEN CARRIER
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
    4. POWER GENERATION
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
    5. OTHER APPLICATIONS
      1. MARKET FORECAST FIGURE
      2. SEGMENT ANALYSIS
  7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
    1. KEY STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENTS
      1. MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
      2. PRODUCT LAUNCHES & DEVELOPMENTS
      3. PARTNERSHIPS & AGREEMENTS
    2. COMPANY PROFILES
      1. CF INDUSTRIES
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES
      2. EXXONMOBIL
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES
      3. MA’ADEN
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES
      4. NUTRIEN LIMITED
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES
      5. POSCO HOLDINGS INC.
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES
      6. SHELL
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES
      7. YARA INTERNATIONAL
        1. COMPANY OVERVIEW
        2. STRENGTHS & CHALLENGES

LIST OF TABLES

TABLE 1: MARKET SNAPSHOT – BLUE AMMONIA

TABLE 2: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY, FORECAST YEARS, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

TABLE 3: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY APPLICATION, FORECAST YEARS, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

TABLE 4: LIST OF MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS

TABLE 5: LIST OF PRODUCT LAUNCHES & DEVELOPMENTS

TABLE 6: LIST OF PARTNERSHIPS & AGREEMENTS

LIST OF FIGURES 

FIGURE 1: KEY MARKET TRENDS

FIGURE 2: PORTER’S FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS

FIGURE 3: MARKET CONCENTRATION ANALYSIS

FIGURE 4: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, GROWTH POTENTIAL, BY TECHNOLOGY, IN 2024

FIGURE 5: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY STEAM METHANE REFORMING (SMR), 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 6: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY AUTOTHERMAL REFORMING (ATR), 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 7: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY GAS PARTIAL OXIDATION, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 8: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, GROWTH POTENTIAL, BY APPLICATION, IN 2024

FIGURE 9: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY AGRICULTURE, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 10: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY MARITIME TRANSPORT, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 11: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY HYDROGEN CARRIER, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 12: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY POWER GENERATION, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

FIGURE 13: UNITED STATES BLUE AMMONIA MARKET, BY OTHER APPLICATIONS, 2024-2050 (IN $ MILLION)

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